I
was having a casual conversation with a friend of mine a few days ago whom
suggested that the government should take control of all fracking operations
that are currently or will ever be operating within the United States. I was a little surprised to hear him say this
since I knew that he had in the past tended to side with a more conservative
view of government. So I asked how
government should do this and for what reason government should do this. His answer was kind of astonishing to me.
He
believed first off that government should enact eminent domain to gain control
of all the known sources of oil where fracking was taking place. He believed that the government should do
this for a variety of reason, first off the owners of the land prior to big oil
companies coming in were not being justly compensated and were being taken
advantage of by the companies that performed the fracking. Also there are apparently cases in which
these fracking companies will find a source they could extract oil from but not
actually extract any until the price per barrel reaches a certain level, I
found this to be an odd claim in and of itself.
He
believed that if the government were to enact eminent domain that the
government could then justly compensate the landowners for the oil, which their
property contained. I do not believe
that this would be the case at all.
There are several companies that perform fracking, these companies will
make more profit if they have more sources of fracking. So it is to each ones mutual benefit to try
and outbid each other for the land up to the point were there is zero economic
profit, if one company does not wish to pay a price were there is still
economic profit to be made other companies will bid more. When the government enacts eminent domain it
has the force of the government behind it, so it does not need to bid up to the
point of zero economic profit as the seller has no choice but to accept the
offer. Also if the government were to
bid more than the oil companies who should already be paying the maximum price
they can and still turn a profit, then the government would lose money, this
money would have to come from taxing some other source. This alone doesn’t make it a bad idea,
necessarily, but I know this is not what my buddy had in mind when he made the
suggestion.
The
reason my friend was so troubled by the idea that there were known sources of
oil which were not being exploited, due to the greed of the oil companies, was
because of the prices he and everyone else were paying at the pumps. He did make an attempt to make an emotionally
based argument. He told me that there
were families who worked for minimum wage, and that these families were spending
half of their earnings on gas to get back and forth from work. As a result of gas being such a large
expenditure these families could not afford food for their young children, and
these children were starving because some oil companies refuse to make a profit
if the profit isn’t big enough. If the
government controlled the fracking operations they could flood the market with
cheap oil driving down the price. This
story he told me hardly makes any sense at all with my view of the world.
The
first question I have is why would an oil company not produce as much oil as it
could, as long as it made a profit on it?
This doesn’t fit with the models of micro economics or what I would
consider good business sense, especially not in an industry were there are
competing firms. What seems a more
likely scenario to me would be that fracking is an expensive way of extracting
oil from the earth, as a result the price must be higher to make fracking
profitable than is the case with conventional oil drilling.
I
also don’t believe that if the government were to take over fracking and
increase the supply of oil that we would see much long-term change in the price
paid for fuel at the pumps. As gasoline
has increased in price over time, we have seen a change in people’s preferences
in regards to its use. People use to buy
big “gas guzzling” cars, there has been a shift to more and more people buying
more fuel-efficient cars. There have
also been other changes, but the point is that people have changed their
preferences to consume less fuel. If the
market were to be flooded with oil, prices may decrease initially, but this
would eventually be offset by people adapting to the new lower prices and
demanding more gasoline, which would drive the price per gallon up once again.
Besides
the fact that I don’t believe that government could ever run a business
enterprise very successfully, for reasons that may take a great many pages to
explain, the story my friend told me doesn’t make sense. The motives the fracking companies sees in
his story don’t fit with what I expect to see in real life. Likewise the result of a government take over
of fracking doesn’t seem to fit with what I expect to see in the real
world. He seems to be concerned with
poor families, in a particular children of poor families, and has some how
managed to link this issue with fracking.
I think it is thinking like this that drives a lot of public policies
that result in government control in a sector that should be left up to the market
process.